🚀 US-China Trade War Escalating

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Market Overview
Read time 1.4 minutes

Year To Date Performances:

1. The U.S.-China trade war escalated sharply after President Trump threatened a 50% tariff hike on Chinese imports unless Beijing walks back its recent 34% duties on American goods. China fired back, vowing to "fight to the end" and signaling potential retaliation through currency devaluation and export controls. With tariffs already pushing China’s weighted average rate above 60%, economists warn the standoff could shave up to 2% off China’s GDP. Despite market jitters and international concern, Trump appears undeterred, cutting off talks and daring Beijing to respond. For now, both sides seem locked into a high-stakes standoff.

2. Despite fears of a global trade war triggered by Trump’s sweeping tariffs, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed back above 4% on Monday, rising to 4.212%—even as markets priced in five potential Fed rate cuts for 2025. Investors appear torn between expecting monetary easing due to economic slowdown fears and fleeing U.S. Treasurys over concerns that America is no longer the global safe haven it once was. Trump, meanwhile, continues to push for lower rates while dismissing tariff fallout, insisting that short-term pain is necessary for long-term gains.

3. Tech stocks roared back Tuesday after days of turbulence, with Nvidia surging nearly 7% and the rest of the “Magnificent Seven” posting solid gains on hopes Trump might ease up on tariffs. The rebound followed a brutal stretch that wiped $1.8 trillion from the group’s market cap, amid record trading volume and wild price swings. Semiconductor stocks joined the rally, even though the latest tariffs didn’t hit them, as investors bet cooler heads might prevail. Broadcom and Marvell soared over 9% on buyback and deal news, adding to the day’s optimism across the tech sector.

4. Headlines

   1. Elon Musk has been publicly feuding with the Trump administration over tariffs.

   2. A rise in fake job seekers is creating a new safety risk for companies.

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